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The zombie Book of Revelation wo n’t take long .
A newfangled clause in a match - reviewed student daybook finds that the zombie hordes would take Earth ’s universe down to a simple 273 survivors in 100 days .
A tongue-in-cheek mathematical model reveals that zombies, if left unchecked, could wipe out humanity within 100 days.
The newspaper publisher , published in the University of Leicester ’s Journal of Physics Special Topics , was a fanciful usance of the so - called SIR model , which is used in epidemiology to simulate how diseases circularize over time . It ’s not the first timezombieshave been used as a public health metaphor . In December 2015 , for model , the British medical diary The Lancetpublished a lingua - in - buttock papertitled " Zombie infections : epidemiology , treatment , and prevention . " And a viral blog post from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention urged zombi - apocalypse preparation asa metaphor for real - animation disaster preparedness .
In the new analysis , the University of Leicester undergraduates take that each zombie would have 90 percent succeeder at finding and infect one human per 24-hour interval — a pace that would make the zombie virus twice as contagious as the Black Death , the pest that ravage Europe in the 1300s . [ Zombie Animals : 5 material Cases of consistency - Snatching ]
The research worker further estimated that each zombie could be 20 sidereal day without braaaaaains .
get into a starting population of 7.5 billion people , approximately the world ’s population today , the pupil calculate that it would take 20 daytime for a single zombie to bug out an epidemic of noticeable proportionality . At that point , thepandemicwould have begun . take no geographic isolation , in fact , the human universe would drop to 181 by daylight 100 of the epidemic , with 190 million living dead roaming around .
With some geographic closing off , the billet would be a petite bit well for humans . simulate thezombie virushad to circularize through contiguous regions and that zombies were middling special in their ability to travel ( not pull up stakes their current part until there were 100,000 zombies roaming there ) , human survivor would numerate 273 by day 100 , the subject area see .
A more naturalistic model might take on that each zombi could find few human victim over time , the students wrote , because there would simply be few humankind to determine .
" We have also not included the possibility for the humans to pour down the zombies , " they write .
But never fear : In a follow - up paper , the student did just that . They extend the snake god lifetime span to one year for up the challenge a act , but also give each human being a 10 percent chance of drink down a zombie each day . They also accounted for human reproduction , take on reproductive - age women would be able-bodied to have a baby once every three eld .
These assumptions provide some hope for humanity . Under this mannikin , the human universe apace dropped off to a few hundred again . However , the zombi croak off after 1,000 daylight , under this framework ; 10,000 days after the beginning of the epidemic , the human population would start to recuperate again , the students found .
Original article on Live Science .
