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Two hundred years after the biggest volcanic blast in memorialize chronicle , scientists have ranked the countries most at risk of a deathly volcanic eruption .

Today ( April 10 ) marks the two-hundredth day of remembrance of the1815 Tambora eruptionin Indonesia . The enormous explosion changed global climate , causing a " class without a summertime " in the Northern Hemisphere . sulphur dioxide from Mount Tambora lingered in the atm for several years , cool off the planet and trigger crop failure , dearth and human disease pandemics in North America , Europe and Asia .

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Mount Tambora’s 1815 eruption is the largest recorded.

" mass were eating computed axial tomography and rats , " enjoin Stephen Self , a volcanologist at the University of California , Berkeley and an expert on the Tambora eruption .

There is a 30 percent luck of another Tambora - size of it eructation scratch this century , grant to a novel global volcanic luck report prepared for the United Nations . An outside squad of experts , known as the Global Volcano Model web , culled report of the demise and destruction ferment by vent and ranked the countries most likely to face such next disasters . The report , call " Global Volcanic Hazards and endangerment , " will bepublished in Mayby Cambridge University Press .

Indonesia remains the country most at peril of another deadly volcanic extravasation , accord to the raw report . To create the ranking , the scientists considered how often volcano within a res publica have erupted in the past 10,000 years and their unlike hazards . For case , ice - cover volcano can unleash fast - menstruate mudflows called lahar . One of the most deadly volcanic events in the past 400 years was a lahar that race down Colombia ’s Nevado del Ruiz volcano in 1985 , killing more than 23,000 people . [ 10 Most Hazardous Countries for Volcanoes ( Photos ) ]

Mount Tambora’s 1815 eruption is the largest recorded.

Mount Tambora’s 1815 eruption is the largest recorded.

The report ’s authors also account for the number of people living in a vent ’s bam zone ( 800 million people live within 62 miles , or 100 kilometre , of a vent , on average around the world ) and whether the volcano has kill before .

However , some countries are more vulnerable tovolcanic threatsthan others . Island land , whose populations must flee an eruption , are more exposed to a volcano ’s virulent hazard , allot to the report . Small nation are also more vulnerable . By this measure , the rankings billet Montserrat , St. Vincent and the Grenadines , the West Indies , Dominica , the Azores , St. Lucia , the Atlantic - United Kingdom Islands , El Salvador and Costa Rica among the small countries and island nations most vulnerable to volcanic extravasation .

On guard

Volcano erupting

Mount Tambora ’s withering irruption was not without warning . The volcano first rumbled to living in 1812 . But before it awakened , Tambora was dormant for more than 1,000 year , and many small town were clustered on the volcano ’s lush slopes . Because no one empty before 1815 , more than 10,000 people were belt down by pyroclastic flow and tsunami .

Now , thanks tovolcano monitoring , death from eruptions have dramatically dropped in recent decade , the report say . But volcano experts are have-to doe with that fatalities could uprise in the futurity , from unmonitored volcano ; from challenges in evacuating big number of people in time ; or from elephantine eruptions like Tambora .

" An outbreak of that size of it today would certainly have major effects on gentle wind traffic as well as atmospheric circulation around the globe , " Self said .

A smoking volcanic crater at Campi Flegrei in Italy.

More than 278,000 people havedied in volcanic eruptionssince 1600 , according to the report . Just five eruptions caused 58 percent of recorded fatality ( this include Tambora ) . Of all the deaths , 33 percent were down by pyroclastic period and 20 per centum by tsunami ; another 14 percent died in lahar . Only 887 hoi polloi died from lava . Another 24 percent of death were indirect , of famine and disease . Ash , avalanche , lightning and other hazards describe for the stay death . ( volcano can trigger tsunamis from landslides or underwater eruptions . )

Pyroclastic stream are virulent and unpredictable . These catamenia tumble down the vent as fast as cat valium planes , carry a mix of lethally hot volcanic gas and rock fragments .

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